By Moshe Hill
President Joe Biden’s “Build Back Better” legislation is on the docket for the Senate.
All eyes are on Democratic Sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema. However, after the sweeping wins for Republicans in Virginia and elsewhere this November, other Democrats up for reelection in 2022 should evaluate if voting for the $1.75 trillion bill is in their best interest.
Mark Kelly — Arizona
Kelly represents the same voters that Sinema does, and his head-to-head polling numbers are not promising. Early polls have Kelly leading between 4 and 9 points, never breaking above 44% of the vote. Arizona is considered a battleground state for 2022. Without Trump on the ticket, the winner of the crowded GOP primary has a great shot at victory. Kelly’s “aye” vote might be the nail in his coffin.
Catherine Cortez Masto — Nevada
Nevada is another state that Biden won in 2020 but is now considered a toss-up state. Cortez Masto edged out Republican Joe Heck in 2016 by a mere 2.4 percentage points and is currently leading in polling by 5 points. Neither of these numbers are impressive enough if Nevada has Virginia or New Jersey-esque swings in 2022. While Democrats do outnumber Republicans in registered voters, it is by a small enough number that the independents are in control of this race.
Maggie Hassan — New Hampshire
Hassan is facing a tough campaign, with early polling showing her trailing Gov. Chris Sununu, who was rumored to get into the race. To Hassan’s relief, Sununu decided to run for reelection as governor, so the GOP needs to find a suitable replacement. Nevertheless, Hassan has an atrocious 33% approval rating and only won her election in 2016 by 0.1 percentage points.
2024 Honorable Mentions
2024 is a long time away, but Democrats such as Montana’s Jon Tester should consider it when deciding their vote. Tester is the only Democrat to hold statewide office in Montana. Like Manchin’s West Virginia, Montana is a reliably red state. If Tester starts consistently caving to the liberals, he’s in grave danger of losing his seat.
If the Biden presidency continues to fail, other Democrats on otherwise safer ground may get dragged down with the ship in three years. These include Jacky Rosen (Nevada), Debbie Stabenow (Michigan), Sherrod Brown (Ohio), Bob Menendez (New Jersey), and Martin Heinrich (New Mexico).