- An Overview of Significant Events on Road to Election and Beyond
By Stacy Robinson
We’ve entered the final phase of the 2024 election cycle, which has been marked by twists and turns.
The Republican nominee, former President ...
- Secret Service, Homeland Security Sued Over Records Related to Trump Assassination Attempt
By Jack Phillips
A lawsuit was filed against the U.S. Secret Service and Department of Homeland Security (DHS) in a bid to seek records from ...
- Arizona Supreme Court Allows 98,000 Without Confirmed Citizenship Documents to Vote
By Caden Pearson
The Arizona Supreme Court ruled Friday that nearly 98,000 people whose proof of citizenship documents had not been confirmed can vote in ...
- Georgia Election Board Approves Rule Requiring Hand Count of Ballots
By Tom Ozimek
The Georgia Election Board has approved a new rule requiring election workers to hand count ballots in the November election and confirm ...
- In-Person Voting Begins in Virginia, South Dakota, and Minnesota
By Nathan Worcester
Summer isn’t over, but America’s “election season” is already well underway. In fact, some people are now casting votes in person for ...
- Lawmakers Mull Revamp of Secret Service Funding, Policy After Trump Assassination Attempts
By Joseph Lord and Arjun Singh
WASHINGTON, D.C.—In the aftermath of an apparent second attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, lawmakers are considering making ...
- Key Battle on Election Betting Market Heads to Appeals Court
By John Haughey
A legal battle over the future of a website’s election prediction market is set to continue on Sept. 19, when an appeals ...
- House Fails to Pass GOP Stopgap Funding Plan
By Joseph Lord, Stacy Robinson and Jackson Richman
WASHINGTON—The House on Sept. 18 failed to pass a temporary spending fix that would have forestalled a ...
- Teamsters Union Makes No Endorsement for President
By Jacob Burg
The International Brotherhood of Teamsters said on Sept. 18 that it will not endorse a presidential candidate, the first time it has ...
- Arizona Officials Find Nearly 100,000 Voters Didn’t Provide Proof of Citizenship
By Zachary Stieber
Officials in Arizona have discovered a flaw that allowed some 97,000 residents to vote in state and local races despite not providing ...
- Americans Can Now Renew Their Passports Online: Everything You Need to Know
By Jack Phillips
The U.S. Department of State on Wednesday announced that Americans can now renew their passports online, bypassing a mail-in method that could ...
- Suspicious Packages Sent to Election Officials Across United States
By Caden Pearson
Suspicious packages containing white powder have been sent to election officials in more than a dozen states since Sept. 16, prompting investigations ...
![Small businesses in the United States encountered growing challenges accessing credit in June, according to Equifax’s latest small-business lending index. Lending volumes fell by 3.3 percent month over month, although they remained up by more than 2 percent from the same period in 2024, according to the report released on Aug. 18. The index’s three-month moving average jumped to 1 percent, fueled by robust lending activity volumes in April that have since eroded. Story continues below advertisement Regionally, 23 states experienced year-over-year declines in 12-month rolling lending volumes, with California (minus 10 percent), Nevada (minus 9 percent), and Georgia (minus 6 percent) leading the decline. Across industries, nominal (noninflation-adjusted) lending decreased in six of the 17 sectors tracked. Accommodation and food services experienced the sharpest decline, while construction, finance and insurance, and retail lending remained stable. Credit conditions showed signs of stabilization in the wake of President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda, the report reads. Related Stories Treasury Department Releases New Guidance Restricting Wind, Solar Tax Credits The Epoch Times Buy Now, Pay Later Is Just Credit, Not a Crisis The Epoch Times The small-business delinquency index (31 to 90 days past due) edged up by nearly 2 percent, or three basis points, from May. The index was little changed from June 2024. Additionally, the default index fell by more than 3 percent, down by seven basis points month over month. Despite national improvements, 34 states reported year-over-year increases in default rates. Maine stood out with a 35 percent spike, the highest in the country. Delinquency rates rose or held steady in five industries, with wholesale trade posting the largest monthly increase of 2 percent. In the coming months, a boost to small-business lending is expected to unfold in the third and fourth quarters. Wall Street overwhelmingly anticipates that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates beginning in September. The Fed’s periodic Summary of Economic Projections—a survey of policymakers’ expectations for the economy and interest rates in the future—points to two rate cuts this year. The federal funds rate—a key policy rate that influences business, consumer, and government borrowing costs—has been unchanged in a target range of 4.25 percent to 4.5 percent since January. Story continues below advertisement However, although a rate cut is considered a boon for the credit industry, the report states that easing monetary policy could “exacerbate inflationary pressures.” Last week, the annual inflation rate for July came in at 2.7 percent for the second straight month, lower than the market’s estimate of 2.8 percent. However, key pipeline inflation indicators—the producer price index and import prices—topped economists’ expectations, signaling that the current administration’s trade agenda could be igniting renewed price pressures. The U.S. central bank will host its annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium from Aug. 21 to Aug. 23, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell delivering the keynote address on Aug. 22. Lenders Signal Optimism Despite the slowdown in small-business lending, a recent industry survey suggests that lenders remain optimistic, citing improved business conditions. The Federal Reserve in Washington on July 21, 2025. (Madalina Kilroy/The Epoch Times) The Federal Reserve in Washington on July 21, 2025. Madalina Kilroy/The Epoch Times According to the American Financial Services Association’s latest consumer credit conditions index for the second quarter, shared with The Epoch Times, the business environment was positive on balance. In the April–June period, the net increasing index—a measure spotlighting the difference between the percentage of lenders who said loan performance conditions got better and those who said they got worse—reached the highest level in the survey’s six-quarter history. In addition, 26 percent more respondents reported that funding costs improved in the second quarter than those who said they worsened. Meanwhile, 18 percent reported an improvement in the performance of their outstanding loans, compared with those who said it worsened. Despite broad-based improvements, more auto lenders reported that business conditions weakened in the second quarter than those who reported improvements. Auto lenders also anticipate weaker overall conditions over the next six months. Caution Ahead Demand for loans from commercial and industrial companies has weakened, according to the New York Fed’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on bank lending. Banks, according to the report, also found weaker demand for credit and other loans from consumers. Despite slowing credit demand, the findings indicated that credit supply through banking lending standards had not tightened significantly. Bipan Rai, managing director at BMO, said that ultimately, the latest figures reveal both the good and the bad. “Empirically, we know that a deterioration in the credit cycle is consistent with a general slowing of the real economy,” Rai said in an Aug. 11 note. “A silver lining in the [Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey] release is that credit supply ... has not tightened materially. Typically, a slowing in the credit cycle would be more concerning if falling demand came as a result of tighter lending standards.” Although the trade situation has stabilized since the April peak of uncertainty, businesses and consumers are seeking greater policy clarity, a recent survey highlighted. The American Bankers Association’s latest credit conditions index—a quarterly outlook for credit markets—declined for the second consecutive quarter. The headline reading came in at 32.1—anything lower indicates expected deterioration—and the index fell to 35.7 for businesses and 28.6 for consumers. Trade negotiations and passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act have offered some reassurance, but tariff-related uncertainty is still a headwind for credit conditions and the broader economy, according to Sayee Srinivasan, the association’s chief economist. “'Hard data’ suggest the economy remains on solid footing, but consumer and business sentiment indicate that policy uncertainty remains elevated and is causing some firms and households to adopt a cautious approach to hiring, spending and investment,” Srinivasan said in the report. The White House recently imposed higher reciprocal tariffs, ranging from 10 percent to 50 percent, on almost 70 U.S. trading partners. The president is expected to announce tariffs on imports of chips, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals soon. Story continues below advertisement Still, small-business optimism has improved and is above the National Federation of Independent Business’s long-term average. Bill Dunkelberg, the group’s chief economist, said that uncertainty persists but business owners are “reporting more positive expectations on business conditions and expansion opportunities.”](https://www.usnn.news/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Small-Business-Lending-Faces-Mixed-Signals-Amid-Economic-Shifts-jpg.webp "Small-Business Lending Faces Mixed Signals Amid Economic Shifts 7")
