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Real News, Real Time

Fed Likely to Make 2 Interest Rate Cuts Before End of Year, Investment Expert Says
Posted inEconomy

Fed Likely to Make 2 Interest Rate Cuts Before End of Year, Investment Expert Says

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 19, 2025August 19, 2025
Hamas Accepts Proposed Deal for Cease-Fire and Hostage Release
Posted inWorld

Hamas Accepts Proposed Deal for Cease-Fire and Hostage Release

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 19, 2025August 19, 2025
More Than 460 Arrests Made Since Federal Takeover of DC Policing
Posted inNational News

More Than 460 Arrests Made Since Federal Takeover of DC Policing

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 19, 2025August 19, 2025
Mining Giant BHP Says Commodity Demand From India, China Strong Amid $10.2 Billion Profit
Posted inBusiness

Mining Giant BHP Says Commodity Demand From India, China Strong Amid $10.2 Billion Profit

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 19, 2025August 19, 2025
6 Takeaways From Trump’s Meetings With Zelenskyy, European Leaders
Posted inWorld

6 Takeaways From Trump’s Meetings With Zelenskyy, European Leaders

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 19, 2025August 19, 2025
Three More GOP Governors Approve Sending National Guard Troops to DC
Posted inNational News

Three More GOP Governors Approve Sending National Guard Troops to DC

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 18, 2025August 18, 2025
Newsom Files Records Request for ICE Operation Near Redistricting Press Conference
Posted inNational News

Newsom Files Records Request for ICE Operation Near Redistricting Press Conference

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 18, 2025August 18, 2025
Chimaev Wins UFC Middleweight Belt by Unanimous Decision
Posted inSports

Chimaev Wins UFC Middleweight Belt by Unanimous Decision

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 18, 2025August 18, 2025
Small businesses in the United States encountered growing challenges accessing credit in June, according to Equifax’s latest small-business lending index. Lending volumes fell by 3.3 percent month over month, although they remained up by more than 2 percent from the same period in 2024, according to the report released on Aug. 18. The index’s three-month moving average jumped to 1 percent, fueled by robust lending activity volumes in April that have since eroded. Story continues below advertisement Regionally, 23 states experienced year-over-year declines in 12-month rolling lending volumes, with California (minus 10 percent), Nevada (minus 9 percent), and Georgia (minus 6 percent) leading the decline. Across industries, nominal (noninflation-adjusted) lending decreased in six of the 17 sectors tracked. Accommodation and food services experienced the sharpest decline, while construction, finance and insurance, and retail lending remained stable. Credit conditions showed signs of stabilization in the wake of President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda, the report reads. Related Stories Treasury Department Releases New Guidance Restricting Wind, Solar Tax Credits The Epoch Times Buy Now, Pay Later Is Just Credit, Not a Crisis The Epoch Times The small-business delinquency index (31 to 90 days past due) edged up by nearly 2 percent, or three basis points, from May. The index was little changed from June 2024. Additionally, the default index fell by more than 3 percent, down by seven basis points month over month. Despite national improvements, 34 states reported year-over-year increases in default rates. Maine stood out with a 35 percent spike, the highest in the country. Delinquency rates rose or held steady in five industries, with wholesale trade posting the largest monthly increase of 2 percent. In the coming months, a boost to small-business lending is expected to unfold in the third and fourth quarters. Wall Street overwhelmingly anticipates that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates beginning in September. The Fed’s periodic Summary of Economic Projections—a survey of policymakers’ expectations for the economy and interest rates in the future—points to two rate cuts this year. The federal funds rate—a key policy rate that influences business, consumer, and government borrowing costs—has been unchanged in a target range of 4.25 percent to 4.5 percent since January. Story continues below advertisement However, although a rate cut is considered a boon for the credit industry, the report states that easing monetary policy could “exacerbate inflationary pressures.” Last week, the annual inflation rate for July came in at 2.7 percent for the second straight month, lower than the market’s estimate of 2.8 percent. However, key pipeline inflation indicators—the producer price index and import prices—topped economists’ expectations, signaling that the current administration’s trade agenda could be igniting renewed price pressures. The U.S. central bank will host its annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium from Aug. 21 to Aug. 23, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell delivering the keynote address on Aug. 22. Lenders Signal Optimism Despite the slowdown in small-business lending, a recent industry survey suggests that lenders remain optimistic, citing improved business conditions. The Federal Reserve in Washington on July 21, 2025. (Madalina Kilroy/The Epoch Times) The Federal Reserve in Washington on July 21, 2025. Madalina Kilroy/The Epoch Times According to the American Financial Services Association’s latest consumer credit conditions index for the second quarter, shared with The Epoch Times, the business environment was positive on balance. In the April–June period, the net increasing index—a measure spotlighting the difference between the percentage of lenders who said loan performance conditions got better and those who said they got worse—reached the highest level in the survey’s six-quarter history. In addition, 26 percent more respondents reported that funding costs improved in the second quarter than those who said they worsened. Meanwhile, 18 percent reported an improvement in the performance of their outstanding loans, compared with those who said it worsened. Despite broad-based improvements, more auto lenders reported that business conditions weakened in the second quarter than those who reported improvements. Auto lenders also anticipate weaker overall conditions over the next six months. Caution Ahead Demand for loans from commercial and industrial companies has weakened, according to the New York Fed’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on bank lending. Banks, according to the report, also found weaker demand for credit and other loans from consumers. Despite slowing credit demand, the findings indicated that credit supply through banking lending standards had not tightened significantly. Bipan Rai, managing director at BMO, said that ultimately, the latest figures reveal both the good and the bad. “Empirically, we know that a deterioration in the credit cycle is consistent with a general slowing of the real economy,” Rai said in an Aug. 11 note. “A silver lining in the [Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey] release is that credit supply ... has not tightened materially. Typically, a slowing in the credit cycle would be more concerning if falling demand came as a result of tighter lending standards.” Although the trade situation has stabilized since the April peak of uncertainty, businesses and consumers are seeking greater policy clarity, a recent survey highlighted. The American Bankers Association’s latest credit conditions index—a quarterly outlook for credit markets—declined for the second consecutive quarter. The headline reading came in at 32.1—anything lower indicates expected deterioration—and the index fell to 35.7 for businesses and 28.6 for consumers. Trade negotiations and passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act have offered some reassurance, but tariff-related uncertainty is still a headwind for credit conditions and the broader economy, according to Sayee Srinivasan, the association’s chief economist. “'Hard data’ suggest the economy remains on solid footing, but consumer and business sentiment indicate that policy uncertainty remains elevated and is causing some firms and households to adopt a cautious approach to hiring, spending and investment,” Srinivasan said in the report. The White House recently imposed higher reciprocal tariffs, ranging from 10 percent to 50 percent, on almost 70 U.S. trading partners. The president is expected to announce tariffs on imports of chips, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals soon. Story continues below advertisement Still, small-business optimism has improved and is above the National Federation of Independent Business’s long-term average. Bill Dunkelberg, the group’s chief economist, said that uncertainty persists but business owners are “reporting more positive expectations on business conditions and expansion opportunities.”
Posted inBusiness

Small-Business Lending Faces Mixed Signals Amid Economic Shifts

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 18, 2025August 18, 2025
Dozens of Democrat-Led States Sue Trump Admin for Tying Crime Victim Funds to Immigration Enforcement
Posted inImmigration

Dozens of Democrat-Led States Sue Trump Admin for Tying Crime Victim Funds to Immigration Enforcement

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 18, 2025August 18, 2025
North Carolina County Declares State of Emergency as Hurricane Erin Intensifies Again
Posted inWeather

North Carolina County Declares State of Emergency as Hurricane Erin Intensifies Again

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 18, 2025August 18, 2025
Trump to Host High-Stakes Meetings With Zelenskyy, European Leaders
Posted inWorld

Trump to Host High-Stakes Meetings With Zelenskyy, European Leaders

USNN World Newsby USNN World NewsAugust 18, 2025August 18, 2025

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NATIONAL NEWS

  • Supreme Court Re-Structures Justices for each CircuitSupreme Court Re-Structures Justices for each Circuit
    By Hal Turner Radio Show Take a look at the move the US Supreme Court made on November 20th.  Oh man, this is EPIC! Do you ...
  • GOP Urges Michigan to Delay Certifying Election for ‘Full Audit and Investigation’ of Wayne County ResultsGOP Urges Michigan to Delay Certifying Election for ‘Full Audit and Investigation’ of Wayne County Results
    By Tom Ozimek The Michigan Republican Party on Saturday urged the state’s election officials to postpone certification by adjourning for two weeks to allow for a “full ...
  • The Small World of Voting Machine CertificationThe Small World of Voting Machine Certification
    By Jeff Carlson An understaffed tiny federal agency and 2 private testing labs responsible for certification of nation’s voting systems. News Analysis The fallout of the Nov. ...
  • Georgia Governor Calls for Audit of Signatures on Ballot EnvelopesGeorgia Governor Calls for Audit of Signatures on Ballot Envelopes
    By Ivan Pentchoukov Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp on Friday urged the state’s top election official to conduct an audit of the signatures on ballot envelopes. Kemp, a Republican, made the ...
  • Williams College Mathematician Flags up to 100,000 Ballots in PennsylvaniaWilliams College Mathematician Flags up to 100,000 Ballots in Pennsylvania
    By Jack Phillips A professor of mathematics at Williams College, in a sworn affidavit, flagged nearly 100,000 ballots in Pennsylvania after analyzing election data and phone interviews. Steven Miller, who specializes in analytic ...
  • Georgia Secretary of State’s Office Incorrectly Says It Certified Election Results, Issues CorrectionGeorgia Secretary of State’s Office Incorrectly Says It Certified Election Results, Issues Correction
    By Jack Phillips Georgia’s Secretary of State’s office said on Friday morning that it certified the results of the Nov. 3 election, saying that all ...
  • Georgia Officials Investigating After Old Voting Machines Found Dumped Near SavannahGeorgia Officials Investigating After Old Voting Machines Found Dumped Near Savannah
    By Jack Phillips The Georgia Secretary of State’s office on Friday said it is investigating why several “no-longer-used” voting machines were dumped near Savannah. “The Secretary of State’s ...
  • Dominion Cancels Planned Appearance Before Pennsylvania LawmakersDominion Cancels Planned Appearance Before Pennsylvania Lawmakers
    By Zachary Stieber Dominion Voting Systems committed to attending an oversight hearing in Pennsylvania but backed out at the last moment, lawmakers in the Keystone State said Friday. “The ...
  • Two Oregon Counties Vote to Consider Seceding, Joining IdahoTwo Oregon Counties Vote to Consider Seceding, Joining Idaho
    By Matthew Vadum Residents of two rural Oregon counties voted in the Nov. 3 election to require their county officials to begin considering what would be involved ...
  • Leftists Warned Not to Plot Punishment for Trump SupportersLeftists Warned Not to Plot Punishment for Trump Supporters
    By Mark Tapscott Ronald Reagan biographer Craig Shirley has a message for Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and other progressive activists threatening to punish President Donald Trump’s ...
  • Floyd County Board of Election Fires Director After Audit Found Uncounted VotesFloyd County Board of Election Fires Director After Audit Found Uncounted Votes
    By Tom Ozimek Georgia’s Floyd County Board of Elections voted on Thursday to terminate its executive director after officials found over 2,600 uncounted ballots during ...
  • Trump Lawyer Sidney Powell Says Team Will Sue Officials ‘To Invalidate’ Election ResultsTrump Lawyer Sidney Powell Says Team Will Sue Officials ‘To Invalidate’ Election Results
    By Jack Phillips Hours after claiming that President Donald Trump won the election by a landslide and that there is evidence to overturn it, campaign ...
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